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Economic Update 10/24/16

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Consumer prices rose 1.5% in the 12 months ending in September, the Bureau of Labor Statistics announced last week. That is the highest annualized inflation rate seen since October 2014, up from 1.1% in the year ending in August. The headline Consumer Price Index advanced 0.3% last month; the core CPI 0.1%.


September saw a 3.2% gain in resales – the first improvement since June, according to the National Association of Realtors. First-time buyers made up 34% of home purchasers, a 4-year peak. Separately, the Census Bureau reported a 9.0% plunge for groundbreaking in September, but building permits increased by 6.3%.


Settling Friday at $50.85, light sweet crude added 1.0% for the week. Crude now has a 5-week winning streak going on the NYMEX. All three major indices advanced during the past five trading days. The S&P 500 rose 0.38% to 2,141.16; the Nasdaq Composite, 0.83% to 5,257.40; and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, 0.04% to 18,145.71.

THIS WEEK: Boise Cascade, Kimberly-Clark, Sonic, T-Mobile, and Visa present earnings Monday. Tuesday offers the October Conference Board consumer confidence index, the August Case-Shiller home price index and earnings reports from 3M, Apple, AT&T, Capital One, Caterpillar, Chipotle, Chubb, Eli Lilly, Express Scripts, JetBlue, Freeport-McMoRan, General Motors, Lexmark, Merck, NCR, Pandora, Panera, Peabody Energy, Procter & Gamble, Sherwin-Williams, Sprint, Under Armour, Unisys, and Valero Energy. September new home sales numbers are out Wednesday, plus earnings from Allegiant Air, Avery Dennison, Biogen, Boeing, Cheesecake Factory, Coca-Cola, Comcast, Garmin, Hilton Worldwide, Ingersoll-Rand, La Quinta Holdings, Netgear, Newmont Mining, Norfolk Southern, Northrop Grumman, O’Reilly, Penske, Public Storage, Southwest Airlines, State Street, Tesla, Universal Health Services, W.R. Grace, Waste Management, and Western Digital. Besides a new initial claims report and September pending home sales data, Thursday offers earnings from Aetna, Aflac, Alphabet, Altria,, Amgen, Baidu, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Cabela’s, Colgate-Palmolive, ConocoPhillips, Dow Chemical, Expedia, Ford Motor Co., Genworth Financial, Hanesbrands, Ingram Micro, LinkedIn, Marathon Petroleum, Nokia, Praxair, Sirius XM, Twitter, and Virgin America. On Friday, the initial Q3 GDP estimate and the final October University of Michigan consumer sentiment index arrive, plus earnings from AutoNation, Chevron, Exelon, Exxon Mobil, Hershey, Phillips 66, Weyerhaeuser, and Xerox.

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About the Independent Financial Advisor

Robert Pagliarini, PhD, CFP®, EA has helped clients across the United States manage, grow, and preserve their wealth for the past 25 years. His goal is to provide comprehensive financial, investment, and tax advice in a way that was honest and ethical. In addition, he is a CFP® Board Ambassador, one of only 50 in the country, and a real fiduciary. In his spare time, he writes personal finance books, finance articles for Forbes and develops email and video financial courses to help educate others. With decades of experience as a financial advisor, the media often calls on him for his expertise. Contact Robert today to learn more about his financial planning services.

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