IMF: FED SHOULD WAIT 6 MONTHS TO TAPER QE3
On Friday, the International Monetary Fund called for the Federal Reserve to keep easing at current levels at least until the end of 2013 and to carefully manage any exit from QE3. In its annual review of the U.S. economy, the IMF characterized the March 1 federal budget cuts as “excessively rapid and ill-designed” and called for their repeal. It lowered its 2014 GDP projection for the U.S. to 2.7%. The IMF still projects U.S. growth for 2013 at 1.9%.
RETAIL SALES UP 0.6% IN MAY
This Commerce Department announcement was a nice surprise, as retail purchases advanced just 0.1% in April. A 1.8% jump in car and truck sales was instrumental, though the pace of overall retail purchases still improved 0.3% for May with vehicle sales factored out.
A NOTABLE RISE IN THE PPI
Increases in food and energy costs took the overall Producer Price Index 0.5% higher for May, with a surge in gasoline prices central to the advance. The core PPI (minus food and energy prices) rose 0.1% last month.
HOUSEHOLD SENTIMENT SLIPS
On Friday, the University of Michigan’s preliminary June index of consumer sentiment came in at 82.7. That was a surprise to the downside; economists polled by Bloomberg had forecast a reading of 84.5, the index’s final mark for May.1
HEADWINDS BUFFET WALL STREET
The Dow fell 1.17% from June 10-14, closing at 15,070.18 Friday. Similar weekly losses plagued the NASDAQ (-1.32% to 3,423.56) and the S&P 500 (-1.01% to 1,626.73). Last week also brought a 12.62% rise for the CBOE VIX, which settled at 17.05 Friday.4
THIS WEEK: June’s NAHB housing market index comes out Monday, and a G8 summit begins in Ireland. Tuesday, the May Consumer Price Index arrives along with data on May housing starts; Adobe Systems and La-Z-Boy present earnings. Wall Street will be focused on the Federal Reserve’s latest policy announcement on Wednesday; in addition, earnings news rolls in from Red Hat, FedEx and Jabil Circuit. Thursday, NAR releases its report on May existing home sales and the Conference Board’s May index of leading indicators appears, complemented by earnings from Kroger, Rite Aid and Oracle. Friday is a quadruple witching day which also offers earnings from CarMax.
About the Independent Financial Advisor
Robert Pagliarini, PhD, CFP®, EA has helped clients across the United States manage, grow, and preserve their wealth for the past 25 years. His goal is to provide comprehensive financial, investment, and tax advice in a way that was honest and ethical. In addition, he is a CFP® Board Ambassador, one of only 50 in the country, and a real fiduciary. In his spare time, he writes personal finance books, finance articles for Forbes and develops email and video financial courses to help educate others. With decades of experience as a financial advisor, the media often calls on him for his expertise. Contact Robert today to learn more about his financial planning services.